DEVELOPMENT OF REGRESSION MODELS FOR ASSESSING ECONOMIC SECURITY INDICATORS OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

The article is devoted to the study of the regression dependence of the main indicator of the dynamics of the domestic economy (GDP) on key factors influencing the stability of macroeconomic processes. A modern econometric modeling apparatus is used based on econometrics application packages. A systematic analysis of the classical justification for quality is carried out, and regression dependencies are proposed: checking for stationarity of time series, multicollinearity, non-equivalence and autocorrelation of the residuals of sample observations. Data processing of the dynamics of the economy of the Republic of Belarus was carried out based on annual observations from 2012 to 2022. The constructed dependence can be used to forecast the balance of the domestic economy.

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